How to Lose An Election: Closed Primaries and Loyalty Oaths
Posted by: JustinThibault in NCGOP on
Jun 8, 2009
This weekend's NCGOP Convention could mark the beginning of a victory for honest, efficient government for the entire state...if we avoid adopting two bad ideas to be brought before the delegates - Loyalty Oaths and Closed Primaries.Unaffiliated voters have become the fastest growing group of voters. In short, a barely active Republican can file for any office, and with the right mix of Unaffiliateds supporting them, would need very few actual Republicans to vote in order to win.
What he's suggesting is that voters aren't claiming a preference because they want to maintain the freedom to vote in either primary. Primary turnout among Unaffiliateds doesn't support that rationale nor do the Primary results suggest that this is a common pattern. In Cabarrus County, the shift to majority Republican happened AFTER the Primaries were opened to Unaffiliateds. This is because "Primary freedom" is not a major factor is someone becoming an Unaffiliated; but other factors (registering at DMV, disenchantment with partisan politics, etc.) predominate.
Not All Unaffiliated Voters Are the Same - My father is Unaffiliated and he's to the right of me AND Attila The Hun on many issues. While I've yet to go to a Tea Party - I'd be willing to bet that they don't skew as Republican in registration as the media might suggest. To propose that voters fall in a one-dimensional continuum with Democrats on the Left, Republicans on the Right, and Unaffiliated in the Center is a case of misperception of the electorate that can be cured by getting out more.
We'll Run Weaker Candidates - You campaign through poetry, govern through prose, and win by arithmetic. In a contest with slim advantage of Democrats over Republicans and a large number of Unaffiliated (think the 8th Congressional District) - the candidate that can win over a large cohort of Unaffiliated during the Primary moves into the General with a solid advantage; because the other guy was appealing to a smaller population. It's that simple.
The Bottom Line - The reality is that we're not winning elections because we're being bested by the other side that raises more money and adhere to fewer laws. Measures like this will hog-tie us. For example, in 1980 - with his record in California - Ronald Regan's campaign could have been endangered by the loyalty oath. And, more recently, McCrory performed much better than Ballentyne did. I'm sure poll numbers will show that it was appeal to Unaffiliated.
written by Brad Spry, June 08, 2009
--Orwell 1984
written by Robert, June 08, 2009
written by Robert, June 09, 2009
We have a blue print for victory. President Ronald Reagan won two land slide victories by taking the conservative message directly to the people of the United States and allowing the people to come around to a conservative way of thinking, not by pandering and moving his positions more to the left or the center.
I want messengers of conservatism elected to office, and that is why I favor a Closed Primary. I understand that a Closed Primary is not going to guarantee that we get a "true" conservative in each and every office on the ballot. However, it is more probable under the Closed Primary scenario than under the Open Primary. At the end of the day, there is nothing that would keep a person from changing their Party affiliation in time for the Primary and then reverting to unaffiliated after the Primary vote.
written by Robert, June 09, 2009
The reason why the Unaffiliated vote is growing is because i) the Democrat Party is becoming the Socialist Party USA and is increasingly intruding into the lives of private citizens, and ii) the Republican Party has been trying to fashion itself after the Democrat Party, thus the term Democrat-light. Republican candidates have not given the People a reason to vote for them. The Republican Party controlled the U.S. Executive and Legislative branches. Did we begin to provide Constitutional government by delivering implementations of our principles of fiscal responsibility? No, over time we increased spending on more entitlement programs. Did we cut the government down to Constitutional size? No, we made it larger. People are starting to wake up and discover that both parties have been shafting them. Thus, I know some who were registered Republicans that have switched to Unaffiliated because the Republican Party has not lived up to conservative principles. If Republican candidates begin to move to the center, then those Unaffiliated will continue to see the Republican Party as still trying to fashion themselves as Democrats, yet somehow better. Given the choice between a charlatan and the real thing, the People will choose the real thing.
Should we then ignore those that are Unaffiliated in the Primary? No, we should take our message to everyone who will listen. You argue that Obama's campaign was successful because he did such a great job of organizing and targeting people with his message. I fail to see how this is any different from Reagan. President Reagan took the message of conservatism to the people and Democrats and Republicans came to his conservative position. The Era of Reagan is not over, it's just that the methods of getting the message to the electorate have changed. The Republican Party must be better situated to reach out to the electorate through all modes of communication, including radio, television, Twitter, Facebook, My Space, blogs. We also need to have the organizational capabilities to put grassroots activist boots on the ground in the districts and put forth candidates of which we are proud. Obama didn't win because he did something radically different. He communicated his message of "Nothing" to the American people, and he communicated that message of "Nothing" well, through all methods of communication. The People thought they heard him say something that resonated within them, and his base of supporters, both financial and boots-on-the-ground activists, grew. In the end Obama won because more people turned out to vote for his message of "Nothing", than for our message of "We'll do what their saying, but with a conservative twist."
President Reagan is the first president of whom I have a living memory. I was much too young to vote in either of those Presidential Elections. However, core principles never go out of style, and there is nothing new under the sun. So, I will never tire of learning from Reagan's policies and listening or reading speeches that he gave. After all, is the Declaration of Independence less relevant today than it was 233 years ago? Should the U.S. Constitution be thrown to trash heap because it is so 1787? God forbid.
My take on the lessons learned from the last General election at both the State and Federal levels is that we must get back to our core principles, and use every means available to get that message to the People. Without messengers that inspire the grassroots, this will not be possible.



On the issue of Loyalty Oaths, I am not so certain, as I can see the case for both sides. I do not see it necessarily as an anointing from Party Elites. It could very well be protection from a wolf-in-sheeps-clothing candidate. However, the Republican Party platform must truly represent us as conservatives. Conservatism is what has made our Nation and our Party great. When we have strayed from conservatism, bad things have happened. I would not want a small number of elites crafting a party platform that took a soft stance on abortion or the definition of marriage, just so that we could claim a "big tent" mentality. Then, we would have to turn around and require our candidates to uphold that platform, though we do not support it.